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Argentina – Algeria Prediction

Argentina logo
Argentina
W D W D L
vs
01:00
17 Jun · Wed
Algeria logo
Algeria
W D W
Venue: Arrowhead Stadium Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 Argentina over 1.5 goals 70% confidence
1.58odds

Argentina scored two or more in four of their last five (3.2 average) and conceded just once across the run, while Algeria have been inconsistent defensively.

Back this tip
1X 80%
Argentina or draw
2.48 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 66%
Algeria under 1.5 goals
1.10 odds

Argentina VS Algeria Prediction

The reigning world champions begin their defence as Argentina meet Algeria, a tie pitting relentless winners against a North African side eager to impress. Argentina set the tone of any group they enter, but an opener still demands focus, and Algeria have the individual quality to make life awkward. Both coaches will treat the night as a platform for the weeks ahead.

Argentina relentless in front of goal

Argentina have won all five, scoring heavily: 5-0 over Zambia, 2-1 against Mauritania, 2-0 versus Angola, 6-0 against Puerto Rico and 1-0 over Venezuela, a remarkable average of 3.2 scored and 0.2 conceded, though several came against lighter opposition. Lionel Messi is in the squad while managing a hamstring issue, and defenders Cristian Romero, Nahuel Molina and Gonzalo Montiel are working back from knocks but were selected, with Lautaro Martinez and Julian Alvarez ensuring the goals keep coming.

Algeria swinging between extremes

Algeria's form swings widely: a 0-1 loss to the Netherlands, a 0-0 draw with Uruguay, a 7-0 thrashing of Guatemala, a 0-2 defeat to Nigeria and a 1-0 win over Congo DR, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. Goalkeeper Luca Zidane recovered from a facial fracture to make the squad, with no other major absentees, and captain Riyad Mahrez and in-form forward Mohamed Amoura carry the threat.

Prediction: Argentina's scoring habit is the safest read

The teams have rarely met and never at a World Cup, leaving recent numbers to do the talking. This Argentina versus Algeria prediction is built on the champions' scoring consistency rather than the obvious result: Argentina hit two or more in four of their last five, so Argentina over 1.5 goals offers the cleaner value. Around it, an Argentina-or-draw double chance reflects their unbeaten run, and Algeria, against a miserly defence, are tipped to stay under 1.5.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Argentina
Home win
33%
Draw
No bet
33%
Algeria
Away win
33%
Argentina — recent matches
31.03 Zambia 5 — 0 W
31.03 Qatar 0 — 0 D
27.03 Mauritania 2 — 1 W
27.03 Spain 0 — 0 D
09.09 Ecuador 0 — 1 L
Algeria — recent matches
03.06 Netherlands 1 — 0 W
31.03 Uruguay 0 — 0 D
27.03 Guatemala 7 — 0 W

Expected Lineups

Argentina · 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 · Algeria
1 L. Zidane 3 Atal 4 Mandi 5 Bensebaini 2 Farès 8 Bennacer 6 Aouar 14 Bentaleb 11 Benrahma 9 Amoura 7 Mahrez 23 E. Martínez 3 Tagliafico 13 Romero 25 L. Martínez 26 Molina 7 De Paul 24 E. Fernández 20 Mac Allister 9 J. Álvarez 22 Lautaro 10 Messi
Argentina coach Lionel Scaloni
Algeria coach Vladimir Petković

Key Players

Argentina
Lionel Messi AM Inter Miami · 190+ caps · 110 G · Captain
Lautaro Martínez ST Inter Milan · 65+ caps · 30 G
Enzo Fernández CM Chelsea · 40+ caps
Julián Álvarez ST Atlético · 40+ caps · 13 G
Emiliano Martínez GK Aston Villa · 45+ caps
Algeria
Riyad Mahrez RW Al-Ahli · 90+ caps · 30 G · Captain
Ismaël Bennacer CM AC Milan · 45+ caps
Saïd Benrahma LW Lyon · 40+ caps
Houssem Aouar AM Roma · 15+ caps

Injuries

Argentina
None reported
Algeria
None reported

Suspensions

Argentina
None reported
Algeria
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Capacity: 76,000
Kansas City's Arrowhead is open-air, loud and often hot in June — heat and atmosphere both weigh on visiting sides.
Weather: Mid-June: hot, humid, ~30–33°C.

Odds

Argentina vs Algeria
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.46 4.80 9.55 Bet now
William Hill 1.40 4.00 8.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.40 4.75 7.00 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.41 4.60 9.50 Bet now
Unibet 1.38 4.75 8.50 Bet now
Betfair 1.36 4.50 9.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.36 4.50 9.00 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.41 4.57 9.08 Bet now
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