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Brazil – Morocco Prediction

Brazil logo
Brazil
W W L L W
vs
22:00
13 Jun · Sat
Morocco logo
Morocco
W W W D
Venue: MetLife Stadium Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.86odds

Morocco conceded about 0.5 per game recently while Brazil are without Neymar and Rodrygo, pointing to a controlled, low-scoring contest.

Back this tip
Total:Under: 3.0 75%
Under 3.0 goals
1.62 odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 63%
Morocco under 1.5 goals
1.17 odds

Brazil VS Morocco Prediction

A genuine heavyweight tie opens the campaign for both nations as Brazil meet Morocco, a rematch of the 2023 friendly that confirmed the Atlas Lions could beat anyone. With qualification at stake from the outset, expect a measured contest in which neither side overcommits. Brazilian flair against Moroccan defensive certainty frames the evening.

Brazil scoring freely but reshaped

Brazil arrive in good touch: a 6-2 win over Panama, a 3-1 victory against Croatia, a 1-2 loss to France, a 1-1 draw with Tunisia and a 2-0 win over Senegal, averaging 2.6 scored and 1.2 conceded, though the heaviest returns came against weaker opponents. The attack is reshaped by absence — Neymar is expected to miss out with a calf strain, Rodrygo is ruled out after knee surgery and Estevao was left off the squad — yet Vinicius Junior, Raphinha and Casemiro keep the core formidable.

Morocco miserly and confident

Morocco have been ruthless against modest opposition, winning four recent games — 4-0 over Madagascar, 5-0 against Burundi, 2-1 versus Paraguay and a 1-1 with Ecuador — conceding just twice for an average near 0.5 against. Captain Achraf Hakimi carries a thigh problem and is a doubt, while Youssef En-Nesyri and Hakim Ziyech missed the final squad. Brahim Diaz and Ayoub El Kaabi lead a unit that defends together and strikes on transition.

Prediction: fine margins between cautious giants

The sides are level historically, Morocco's 2-1 in 2023 cancelling Brazil's 3-0 at the 1998 World Cup. This Brazil versus Morocco prediction sets Brazil's reshuffled attack against Morocco's miserly defence rather than expecting a comfortable win, so the total staying under 2.5 goals carries value in a game both will want to control. Around it, the contest staying under three goals fits the cagey shape, while Morocco, facing far stronger opposition than recently, are tipped to stay under 1.5.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Brazil
Home win
0%
Draw
No bet
50%
Morocco
Away win
50%
Brazil — recent matches
31.05 Panama 6 — 2 W
01.04 Croatia 3 — 1 W
26.03 France 1 — 2 L
09.09 Bolivia 0 — 1 L
05.09 Chile 3 — 0 W
Morocco — recent matches
02.06 Madagascar 4 — 0 W
26.05 Burundi 5 — 0 W
31.03 Paraguay 2 — 1 W
27.03 Ecuador 1 — 1 D
25.03.2023 Morocco vs Brazil 2 — 1

Expected Lineups

Brazil · 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 · Morocco
1 Bounou 3 Mazraoui 5 Aguerd 4 Dari 2 Hakimi 8 Amrabat 6 Ounahi 10 El Khannouss 11 El Kaabi 9 En-Nesyri 7 Brahim Díaz 1 Alisson 6 Carlos Augusto 4 Marquinhos 3 Gabriel 2 Vanderson 5 Bruno Guimarães 8 André 10 Paquetá 11 Estêvão 9 Vinícius Jr. 7 Raphinha
Brazil coach Carlo Ancelotti
Morocco coach Walid Regragui

Key Players

Brazil
Vinícius Júnior LW Real Madrid · 35+ caps · 5 G
Rodrygo RW Real Madrid · 30+ caps · 7 G
Marquinhos CB PSG · 90+ caps · Captain
Bruno Guimarães CM Newcastle · 40+ caps
Endrick ST Real Madrid · 15+ caps · 4 G
Morocco
Achraf Hakimi RB PSG · 80+ caps · 11 G
Hakim Ziyech AM Al-Duhail · 60+ caps
Sofyan Amrabat CDM Fiorentina · 60+ caps
Youssef En-Nesyri ST Fenerbahçe · 75+ caps · 25 G
Romain Saïss CB Damac · 70+ caps · Captain

Injuries

Brazil
Neymar Returning from long-term knee injury Doubtful
Morocco
None reported

Suspensions

Brazil
None reported
Morocco
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Capacity: 82,500
A vast open-air bowl — the tournament's final venue — with little cover; conditions are typically mild but the large pitch suits expansive play.
Weather: Mid-June New York area: ~24–28°C, humid.

Odds

Brazil vs Morocco
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.70 3.95 6.15 Bet now
William Hill 1.55 3.90 5.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.62 3.90 5.25 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.64 3.88 6.10 Bet now
Unibet 1.61 3.90 5.80 Bet now
Betfair 1.60 3.75 5.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.60 3.80 5.75 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.65 3.83 5.93 Bet now
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