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Iran – New Zealand Prediction

Iran

W W W L W

01:00

16 Jun · Tue

New Zealand

L W L W W

Venue: SoFi Stadium Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks

Top Pick

1X Iran or draw 60% confidence

1.26odds

Iran conceded around 0.8 per game and are unbeaten against New Zealand historically, while New Zealand conceded around 2.6 in a leaky run.

Back this tip

Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 74%

Iran over 0.5 goals

1.51 odds

Total:Over: 1.5 64%

Over 1.5 goals

3.92 odds

Iran VS New Zealand Prediction

Iran face New Zealand in an opener between an experienced Asian heavyweight and an All Whites side that blows hot and cold. Iran's defensive solidity meets New Zealand's leaky recent form, and that contrast shapes the contest. With qualification hopes resting on a positive start, Iran will look to control proceedings.

Iran solid and incisive

Iran arrive in decent shape: a 3-1 win over Gambia, a 5-0 rout of Costa Rica, a 1-2 loss to Nigeria and goalless draws with Uzbekistan and Cape Verde, averaging around 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Forward Sardar Azmoun was left out, but talisman Mehdi Taremi remains the focal point, with Alireza Jahanbakhsh and Mehdi Ghayedi in support behind Amir Ghalenoei's well-organised side.

New Zealand inconsistent and leaky

New Zealand arrive wildly up and down: a 4-1 win over England, a 0-4 loss to Haiti, a 4-1 victory against Chile, a 0-2 defeat to Finland and a 0-2 loss to Ecuador, averaging around 1.8 scored and a porous 2.6 conceded. Captain Chris Wood is fit after knee surgery and leads the line, with Marko Stamenic in midfield and veteran Tommy Smith at the back, though the defensive frailty is the clear concern.

Prediction: Iran's control against a fragile New Zealand

Iran are unbeaten in the teams' few prior meetings. This Iran versus New Zealand prediction leans on Iran's defensive solidity against New Zealand's leaky form, so a draw or Iran win carries value rather than an outright result. Around it, Iran look good to register over 0.5 against a porous defence, and the game passing over 1.5 reflects both teams' scoring.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis

Iran

Home win

33%

Draw

No bet

33%

New Zealand

Away win

33%

Iran — recent matches

04.06 Mali 2 — 0 W

29.05 Gambia 3 — 1 W

31.03 Costa Rica 5 — 0 W

27.03 Nigeria 1 — 2 L

10.06 North Korea 3 — 0 W

New Zealand — recent matches

03.06 Haiti 0 — 4 L

30.03 Chile 4 — 1 W

27.03 Finland 0 — 2 L

24.03 New Caledonia 3 — 0 W

21.03 Fiji 7 — 0 W

Expected Lineups

Pending

⏳

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Key Players

Iran

Mehdi Taremi ST Inter Milan · 90+ caps · 50 G

Sardar Azmoun ST Shabab Al-Ahli · 80+ caps · 50 G

Alireza Jahanbakhsh RW Heerenveen · 80+ caps

Ehsan Hajsafi LB AEK Athens · 130+ caps · Captain

New Zealand

Chris Wood ST Nottingham Forest · 70+ caps · 35 G · Captain

Marko Stamenić CM Olympiacos · 20+ caps

Ben Old AM St. Étienne · 15+ caps

Tyler Bindon CB Reading · 15+ caps

Injuries

Iran

None reported

New Zealand

None reported

Suspensions

Iran

None reported

New Zealand

None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: SoFi Stadium

Capacity: 70,000

SoFi's fixed translucent canopy shades the pitch and tempers Los Angeles heat, giving neutral, controlled conditions that favour technical, possession football.

Weather: Mid-June LA: mild, ~22–26°C, dry under the canopy.