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Iraq – Norway Prediction

Iraq logo
Iraq
D W W W D
vs
22:00
16 Jun · Tue
Norway logo
Norway
W D L
Venue: Gillette Stadium Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
X2 Norway or draw 70% confidence
1.31odds

Norway scored freely in recent matches and qualifying behind Erling Haaland, while Iraq are organised but low-scoring, making an Iraq win unlikely.

Back this tip
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 76%
Norway over 0.5 goals
1.21 odds
Total Team 1 Under:1.5 66%
Iraq under 1.5 goals
1.07 odds

Iraq VS Norway Prediction

Iraq mark a long-awaited World Cup return against a Norway side spearheaded by one of the game's most prolific strikers. The gap in attacking firepower is considerable, but openers can be cagey and Iraq will defend with discipline and pride. For Norway, the task is to break down a stubborn block and start with authority.

Iraq organised and resilient

Iraq arrive having ground out results: a 1-0 win over Andorra, a 2-1 victory against Bolivia that sealed their place, a 2-1 and 1-1 playoff double-header with the United Arab Emirates and a 0-0 draw with Saudi Arabia, averaging around 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded behind a structured side under Graham Arnold. No confirmed absentees were reported, with veteran striker Aymen Hussein leading the line and Luton's Ali Al-Hamadi and midfielder Zidane Iqbal in support.

Norway dangerous and Haaland-led

Norway come in with goals throughout the team, most recently beating Sweden 3-1 and racking up 37 in eight qualifiers. Erling Haaland, who led European qualifying with 16 goals, anchors the attack, though he was rested for the Sweden friendly, while playmaker Martin Odegaard carries a fitness doubt after an injury-hit season. Jorgen Strand Larsen, who scored twice against Sweden, and Antonio Nusa add further threat.

Prediction: Norwegian quality should tell

The teams have never met, leaving form to guide the view. This Iraq versus Norway prediction leans on Norway's vastly superior output against an organised but modest Iraq, so a draw or Norway win carries value rather than backing a runaway scoreline. Around it, Norway look good to register over 0.5, while Iraq's cautious approach is tipped to keep them under 1.5.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Iraq
Home win
33%
Draw
No bet
33%
Norway
Away win
33%
Iraq — recent matches
04.06 Spain 1 — 1 D
29.05 Andorra 1 — 0 W
01.04 Bolivia 2 — 1 W
18.11 United Arab Emirates 2 — 1 W
13.11 United Arab Emirates 1 — 1 D
Norway — recent matches
01.06 Sweden 3 — 1 W
31.03 Switzerland 0 — 0 D
27.03 Netherlands 1 — 2 L

Expected Lineups

Pending

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Key Players

Iraq
Aymen Hussein ST Al-Wakrah · 50+ caps · 18 G · Captain
Zidane Iqbal CM Utrecht · 10+ caps
Ali Al-Hamadi ST Ipswich · 15+ caps
Jalal Hassan GK Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Norway
Erling Haaland ST Man City · 35+ caps · 35 G
Martin Ødegaard AM Arsenal · 45+ caps · Captain
Alexander Sørloth ST Atlético · 50+ caps · 14 G
Antonio Nusa LW Leipzig · 15+ caps

Injuries

Iraq
None reported
Norway
None reported

Suspensions

Iraq
None reported
Norway
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Open-air New England venue; June conditions are usually moderate, taking heat largely out of the equation.
Weather: Mid-June Foxborough: mild, ~20–25°C.

Odds

Iraq vs Norway
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 15.30 7.23 1.28 Bet now
William Hill 13.00 6.00 1.20 Bet now
Bet365 12.00 6.50 1.20 Bet now
Marathonbet 15.25 6.80 1.22 Bet now
Unibet 12.00 6.50 1.23 Bet now
Betfair 13.00 6.50 1.18 Bet now
BetVictor 15.00 6.50 1.18 Bet now
Pinnacle 13.96 7.18 1.21 Bet now
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