Today's free World Cup 2026 pick is live — see who we're tipping →
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Norway – Senegal Prediction

Norway logo
Norway
W D W D L
vs
20:00
22 Jun · Mon
Senegal logo
Senegal
L D L W W
Venue: MetLife Stadium Referee: Wilton Pereira Sampaio

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
Total:Over: 2.5 Over 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.86odds

Norway average 1.8 goals with a 4-1 and 3-1 in their recent run, while Senegal concede 1.4 a game and must commit forward after losing to France.

Back this tip
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 84%
Norway over 0.5 goals
1.22 odds
1X 64%
Norway or draw
2.46 odds

Norway VS Senegal Prediction

Norway and Senegal meet at MetLife Stadium on 22 June from contrasting opening rounds, with Norway riding high and Senegal needing a swift response. The Norwegians announced themselves with an emphatic win over Iraq, while Senegal were beaten by France and now face the pressure of a near must-win to keep their qualification hopes firmly on track. Both sides carry genuine attacking threat, which sets up an open, intriguing contest between a confident in-form team and a quality side desperate to bounce back.

Norway in confident, free-scoring form

Norway arrive with real momentum after a 4-1 demolition of Iraq, a result that showcased the attacking firepower that has defined their recent run. A 3-1 win over Sweden and a 1-1 draw with Morocco sit alongside that opener, giving them an average of 1.8 goals scored and one conceded, with only a narrow loss to the Netherlands blotting the copybook. They are direct, physical and clinical when the chances come, and the confidence flowing from such an emphatic start should embolden them further. Against a Senegal side forced to chase the game, Norway's threat on the counter could prove especially dangerous.

Senegal quality but inconsistent

Senegal carry plenty of individual quality but have been frustratingly uneven. The 1-3 loss to France was a chastening reminder of the gap to the elite, and it sits within a mixed run that includes a goalless draw with Saudi Arabia, a narrow defeat to the United States and a 3-1 win over Gambia, leaving them averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. They have the talent to trouble any defence, but their tendency to concede and their lack of consistency are real concerns. Needing a result here, they will have to commit men forward, which against Norway's counterattacking threat carries obvious risk.

Prediction: goals expected

With Norway in free-scoring form and Senegal compelled to attack, this Norway versus Senegal prediction points toward an open, goal-filled game. The contest passing 2.5 goals is the standout angle given both sides' attacking output and Senegal's defensive vulnerability. Two supporting reads frame the balance: Norway, scorers in every recent match, getting on the board with over 0.5 of their own, and the in-form Norwegians at least avoiding defeat through the double chance as Senegal gamble on chasing the result their campaign now demands. Defeat would leave Senegal in real danger and force them to chase the game, and against a Norway side that has just put four past Iraq and three past Sweden, that open approach could easily produce goals at both ends.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Norway
Home win
43%
Draw
No bet
27%
Senegal
Away win
30%
Norway — recent matches
16.06 Iraq 4 — 1 W
07.06 Morocco 1 — 1 D
01.06 Sweden 3 — 1 W
31.03 Switzerland 0 — 0 D
27.03 Netherlands 1 — 2 L
Senegal — recent matches
16.06 France 1 — 3 L
09.06 Saudi Arabia 0 — 0 D
31.05 USA 2 — 3 L
31.03 Gambia 3 — 1 W
28.03 Peru 2 — 0 W

Expected Lineups

Pending

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Key Players

Norway
Erling Haaland ST Man City · 35+ caps · 35 G
Martin Ødegaard AM Arsenal · 45+ caps · Captain
Alexander Sørloth ST Atlético · 50+ caps · 14 G
Antonio Nusa LW Leipzig · 15+ caps
Senegal
Sadio Mané LW Al-Nassr · 100+ caps · 40 G
Kalidou Koulibaly CB Al-Hilal · 80+ caps · Captain
Édouard Mendy GK Al-Ahli · 35+ caps
Ismaïla Sarr RW Crystal Palace · 65+ caps
Nicolas Jackson ST Bayern Munich · 20+ caps

Injuries

Norway
None reported
Senegal
None reported

Suspensions

Norway
None reported
Senegal
None reported

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 France 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Norway 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Senegal 2 0 0 2 -3 0
4 Iraq 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Venue · Context

Stadium: MetLife Stadium
Capacity: 82,500
A vast open-air bowl — the tournament's final venue — with little cover; conditions are typically mild but the large pitch suits expansive play.
Weather: Mid-June New York area: ~24–28°C, humid.

Odds

Norway vs Senegal
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.31 3.69 3.50 Bet now
William Hill 2.20 3.30 3.00 Bet now
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.20 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.26 3.64 3.28 Bet now
Unibet 2.10 3.50 3.45 Bet now
Betfair 2.25 3.40 3.25 Bet now
BetVictor 2.20 3.40 3.13 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.25 3.60 3.21 Bet now
More AI Picks
Smart money starts here

Get the pick before kickoff.

Every World Cup 2026 match comes with our model's main bet and two backups — free, no account, ready before the whistle blows.