Today's free World Cup 2026 pick is live — see who we're tipping →
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Senegal – Iraq Prediction

Senegal logo
Senegal
L L D L W
vs
15:00
26 Jun · Fri
Iraq logo
Iraq
L L L D W
Venue: BMO Field Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
Total:Over: 2.0 Over 70% confidence
1.31odds

Both teams have averaged over a goal per game recently and have shown defensive vulnerabilities, making it likely for the match to exceed two goals.

Back this tip
Total Team 1 Over: 1 65%
Over
1.07 odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 60%
Over
2.03 odds

Senegal VS Iraq Prediction

As the FIFA World Cup 2026 continues, Senegal and Iraq prepare to face off on June 26 at BMO Field. This match marks the final game of the group stage, and both teams are eager to secure their place in the knockout rounds. With no room for error, the stakes are high for both sides, making this encounter crucial in determining their World Cup fate.

Senegal's Balanced Approach

Senegal enters this match with a mixed bag of recent performances. They managed an impressive 3-1 victory over Gambia and a 2-0 win against Peru in their home matches, showcasing their attacking prowess. However, their away form has been less convincing, with losses against France and the USA. The Lions of Teranga have averaged 1.60 goals per match in their last five outings, while conceding 1.40 goals on average. Fortunately for Senegal, they have a full squad available with no injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Iraq's Struggles and Opportunities

Iraq has experienced a challenging set of recent matches, with defeats against Norway and Venezuela highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Despite this, they managed to secure a hard-fought draw against Spain and earned victories over Andorra and Bolivia. Iraq has averaged 1.00 goal per game while conceding 1.60 in their last five matches. Like Senegal, Iraq has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to deploy their preferred starting eleven in this decisive fixture.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Given the stakes, both teams will be determined to avoid any defensive mishaps that could cost them a spot in the knockout stages. Senegal's slightly superior scoring ability and the lack of current injuries or suspensions suggest they have a slight edge over Iraq. However, Iraq's ability to grind out results, as seen in their draw against Spain, cannot be underestimated. The prediction leans towards a closely contested affair, with Senegal slightly favored to edge out their opponents.

For betting enthusiasts, the most promising market might be "Total:Over: 2.0" goals. With both teams averaging above a goal per game and showing defensive frailties, it is likely that the match will see more than two goals scored overall. The Confidence Score for this prediction is 7. Additionally, betting on "Total Team 1 Over: 1" has a 65% probability, considering Senegal's recent goal-scoring form. Similarly, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" with a 60% probability reflects Iraq's capability to find the net at least once.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Senegal
Home win
76%
Draw
No bet
15%
Iraq
Away win
9%
Senegal — recent matches
23.06 Norway 2 — 3 L
16.06 France 1 — 3 L
09.06 Saudi Arabia 0 — 0 D
31.05 USA 2 — 3 L
31.03 Gambia 3 — 1 W
Iraq — recent matches
22.06 France 0 — 3 L
16.06 Norway 1 — 4 L
10.06 Venezuela 0 — 2 L
04.06 Spain 1 — 1 D
29.05 Andorra 1 — 0 W

Expected Lineups

Pending

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Key Players

Senegal
Sadio Mané LW Al-Nassr · 100+ caps · 40 G
Kalidou Koulibaly CB Al-Hilal · 80+ caps · Captain
Édouard Mendy GK Al-Ahli · 35+ caps
Ismaïla Sarr RW Crystal Palace · 65+ caps
Nicolas Jackson ST Bayern Munich · 20+ caps
Iraq
Aymen Hussein ST Al-Wakrah · 50+ caps · 18 G · Captain
Zidane Iqbal CM Utrecht · 10+ caps
Ali Al-Hamadi ST Ipswich · 15+ caps
Jalal Hassan GK Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya

Injuries

Senegal
None reported
Iraq
None reported

Suspensions

Senegal
None reported
Iraq
None reported

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 France 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Norway 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Senegal 2 0 0 2 -3 0
4 Iraq 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Venue · Context

Stadium: BMO Field
Capacity: 45,000
Toronto's BMO Field, expanded for the tournament, is an open-air ground with mild early-summer conditions that suit a high tempo.
Weather: Mid-June Toronto: mild, ~20–25°C.

Odds

Senegal vs Iraq
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.31 6.30 13.05 Bet now
William Hill 1.25 5.50 11.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.22 5.50 13.00 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.26 5.95 12.50 Bet now
Unibet 1.25 6.25 11.50 Bet now
Betfair 1.22 6.00 11.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.22 6.00 12.00 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.22 6.13 11.07 Bet now
More AI Picks
Smart money starts here

Get the pick before kickoff.

Every World Cup 2026 match comes with our model's main bet and two backups — free, no account, ready before the whistle blows.