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Sweden – Tunisia Prediction

Sweden logo
Sweden
D L
vs
02:00
15 Jun · Mon
Tunisia logo
Tunisia
L D W
Venue: Estadio BBVA Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 Tunisia under 1.5 goals 60% confidence
2.40odds

Tunisia scored around 0.6 per game in five, a blunt attack against a Sweden side that still carries attacking quality.

Back this tip
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 72%
Sweden over 0.5 goals
1.52 odds
Total:Under: 3.0 66%
Under 3.0 goals
1.73 odds

Sweden VS Tunisia Prediction

Sweden meet Tunisia in an opener that contrasts Scandinavian firepower with North African defensive discipline. Sweden carry a star-studded attack, while Tunisia rely on organisation and resilience under a new coach. With qualification finely poised from the off, both will balance ambition against the risk of an early slip.

Sweden loaded but fragile at the back

Sweden arrive with goals but questions defensively: a 1-3 loss to Norway, a 3-2 win over Poland and a 3-1 victory against Ukraine in their playoff run among recent matches, averaging roughly 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded. The attack is stacked, with Arsenal's Viktor Gyokeres — who sealed qualification against Poland — and Liverpool's Alexander Isak both included, though Isak carries a fitness doubt. Dejan Kulusevski is the notable absentee, and Victor Lindelof anchors a defence that has looked open.

Tunisia organised and blunt

Tunisia come in resolute but short of goals: a 0-1 loss to Austria, a 0-0 draw with Canada, a 1-0 win over Haiti and tight AFCON draws among recent games, averaging around 0.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. New coach Sabri Lamouchi has named a much-changed squad built on structure, with captain Ellyes Skhiri anchoring midfield and Hannibal Mejbri and Elias Achouri providing the limited spark.

Prediction: Tunisia's blunt attack is the key

The teams have met only a handful of times. This Sweden versus Tunisia prediction leans on Tunisia's lack of goals against a Swedish side that, for all its defensive flaws, carries real threat, so Tunisia staying under 1.5 goals offers value. Around it, Sweden look likely to register over 0.5 of their own, and the contest staying under three goals reflects Tunisia's caution.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Sweden
Home win
33%
Draw
No bet
33%
Tunisia
Away win
33%
Sweden — recent matches
04.06 Greece 2 — 2 D
01.06 Norway 1 — 3 L
Tunisia — recent matches
01.06 Austria 0 — 1 L
31.03 Canada 0 — 0 D
29.03 Haiti 1 — 0 W

Expected Lineups

Pending

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Key Players

Sweden
Alexander Isak ST Liverpool · 40+ caps · 16 G
Dejan Kulusevski RW Tottenham · 35+ caps · 7 G
Victor Lindelöf CB Aston Villa · 70+ caps · Captain
Anthony Elanga LW Newcastle · 20+ caps
Tunisia
Hannibal Mejbri AM Burnley · 25+ caps
Aïssa Laïdouni CM Union Berlin · Captain
Wahbi Khazri AM Montpellier · 80+ caps
Issam Jebali ST Odense BK

Injuries

Sweden
None reported
Tunisia
None reported

Suspensions

Sweden
None reported
Tunisia
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Estadio BBVA
Capacity: 53,500
Altitude: 540m above sea level ⚠️ Key factor
Monterrey is among the hottest host cities — daytime kick-offs can exceed 30°C, putting a premium on hydration and squad depth.
Weather: Mid-June: hot and dry, frequently 32°C+ in daytime.

Odds

Sweden vs Tunisia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.99 3.57 4.40 Bet now
William Hill 1.91 3.20 4.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.90 3.40 4.10 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.93 3.52 4.35 Bet now
Unibet 1.94 3.35 4.20 Bet now
Betfair 1.91 3.30 4.20 Bet now
BetVictor 1.90 3.30 4.20 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.93 3.48 4.32 Bet now
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