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Uruguay – Cape Verde Islands Prediction

Uruguay logo
Uruguay
D D D D W
vs
18:00
21 Jun · Sun
Cape Verde Islands logo
Cape Verde Islands
D W W D L
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium Referee: Espen Eskås

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
Total:Under: 2.5 Under 2.5 goals 60% confidence
1.67odds

Uruguay average just one goal scored and 0.4 conceded across a run of tight draws, while Cape Verde kept Spain to a goalless draw and concede only one a game.

Back this tip
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 64%
Cape Verde Islands under 1.5 goals
1.09 odds
1X 78%
Uruguay or draw
2.69 odds

Uruguay VS Cape Verde Islands Prediction

Uruguay and Cape Verde Islands meet at Hard Rock Stadium on 21 June with both sides emerging from creditable opening draws and sensing an opportunity to take a grip on the group. Uruguay were held by Saudi Arabia despite their greater pedigree, while Cape Verde produced the eye-catching result of the round, keeping Spain at bay in a goalless draw. The South Americans carry far more individual quality, but the debutants have already shown they can defend with discipline and patience, which sets up an intriguing test of guile against organisation.

Uruguay tight but low on goals

Uruguay's recent form is defined by defensive solidity rather than attacking flair. The 1-1 draw with Saudi Arabia extended a run that includes goalless draws with Algeria and Chile and a 1-1 with England, leaving them averaging just one goal scored but a miserly 0.4 conceded. They are extremely hard to beat and rarely lose their shape, yet the lack of cutting edge has been a recurring theme, with only a 3-0 win over Peru hinting at what their attack can produce. Breaking down a deep, well-drilled block will demand patience and precision, qualities they will need in abundance against a Cape Verde side happy to defend.

Cape Verde compact and improving

Cape Verde arrive with their confidence soaring after frustrating Spain, and their wider form is more than respectable: 3-0 wins over Bermuda and Serbia sit alongside that goalless draw with the Spanish, giving them an average of 1.8 goals scored and one conceded. They defend in numbers, stay compact between the lines and have shown they can carry a threat on the break when the chance arises. The step up against Uruguay's experience and game-management is significant, but a side capable of shutting out Spain will travel here believing another disciplined, organised display can earn them something tangible.

Prediction: a tight, low-scoring affair

With Uruguay's blunt attack meeting a Cape Verde side that just blanked Spain, this Uruguay versus Cape Verde Islands prediction leans firmly toward a cagey, low-scoring contest. The game staying under 2.5 goals is the standout angle given Uruguay's run of tight matches and Cape Verde's defensive resolve. Two further reads support that picture: Cape Verde, recently shut out by their own opponents, being held under 1.5 goals against Uruguay's miserly defence, and the more experienced South Americans at least avoiding defeat as they look to convert control into a narrow result. Cape Verde's goalless draw with Spain proved their defensive credentials beyond doubt, and Uruguay's blunt attacking record suggests the debutants can again make life uncomfortable for more illustrious opponents in a contest of fine margins.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Uruguay
Home win
64%
Draw
No bet
23%
Cape Verde Islands
Away win
13%
Uruguay — recent matches
15.06 Saudi Arabia 1 — 1 D
31.03 Algeria 0 — 0 D
27.03 England 1 — 1 D
09.09 Chile 0 — 0 D
04.09 Peru 3 — 0 W
Cape Verde Islands — recent matches
15.06 Spain 0 — 0 D
06.06 Bermuda 3 — 0 W
31.05 Serbia 3 — 0 W
30.03 Finland 1 — 1 D
27.03 Chile 2 — 4 L

Expected Lineups

Pending

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Key Players

Uruguay
Federico Valverde CM Real Madrid · 70+ caps · 13 G · Captain
Darwin Núñez ST Liverpool · 40+ caps · 16 G
Ronald Araújo CB Barcelona · 35+ caps
Manuel Ugarte CDM Man United · 20+ caps
Cape Verde Islands
Ryan Mendes AM Hatayspor · 55+ caps · Captain
Bryan Teixeira AM Pohang Steelers · 15+ caps
Jovane Cabral LW Estoril · 25+ caps
Stopira LB Free agent · 80+ caps

Injuries

Uruguay
None reported
Cape Verde Islands
None reported

Suspensions

Uruguay
None reported
Cape Verde Islands
None reported

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 Uruguay 2 0 2 0 0 2
3 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
4 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1

Venue · Context

Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Miami's heat and humidity are among the tournament's most testing; the stadium canopy shades seats but the pitch stays hot and sticky.
Weather: Mid-June Miami: hot and very humid, ~31°C, storm risk.

Odds

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.54 4.35 8.55 Bet now
William Hill 1.44 3.90 7.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.44 4.20 8.00 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.49 4.30 8.20 Bet now
Unibet 1.43 4.25 8.50 Bet now
Betfair 1.44 4.20 8.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.44 4.00 8.00 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.48 4.19 7.98 Bet now
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