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USA – Belgium Prediction

USA logo
USA
W L W W L
vs
17:00
06 Jul · Mon
Belgium logo
Belgium
W W D D W
Venue: Lumen Field Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks
Top Pick
Total:Over: 2.5 Yes 80% confidence
1.70odds

Both teams have shown high scoring averages in recent matches, making a high-scoring game likely.

Back this tip
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5 70%
Yes
2.19 odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 65%
Yes
1.23 odds

USA VS Belgium Prediction

The USA is set to face Belgium in a high-stakes Round of 16 encounter at Lumen Field. Having shown solid form in recent matches, the USA will be looking to capitalize on their attacking momentum, although the tournament setting provides no real home advantage. The pressure is on both teams as they vie for a spot in the quarter-finals of the FIFA World Cup 2026.

USA's recent games have been a mixed bag, with a strong home performance but a less convincing away record. Their last match saw a 2-0 victory over Australia, showcasing their attacking prowess with an average of 2.20 goals scored per match in their last five games. However, they will be without key players M. McKenzie and C. Roldan due to injuries, and F. Balogun is suspended, which could affect their attacking depth.

USA's Challenge in the Knockout Stage

The USA has demonstrated a potent attack in their recent matches, particularly at home, where they have won four out of their last five games. This form will be crucial as they face a Belgium side known for their defensive resilience. Despite the absence of key players, the USA's ability to score has been consistent, averaging 2.40 goals in home games. The defensive line will need to be vigilant, having conceded an average of 1.20 goals per game, especially against a Belgian team that poses a significant threat on the counter.

Belgium's Offensive Firepower

Belgium enters this match with a formidable attacking record, having scored an average of 2.80 goals in their last five fixtures. Their recent 5-0 triumph over Tunisia illustrates their ability to dismantle defences effectively. While their away form has been impressive, with an average of 3.25 goals scored, they will miss the services of Z. Debast due to injury. However, they remain a cohesive unit with no suspensions affecting their lineup, which could be pivotal against the USA's fluctuating defence.

Prediction and Betting Insights

Both teams have strengths that could influence the outcome, but Belgium's recent form and head-to-head record against the USA provide them with a slight edge. The prediction leans towards an exciting encounter given both teams' scoring capabilities. A likely betting event is 'Total:Over: 2.5', given the scoring trends of both teams and their recent performances, with a confidence score of 8.

Additionally, the betting markets suggest that a 'Total Team 2 Over: 1.5' is probable, with Belgium's strong offensive output, estimated at a 70% probability. Another viable option could be 'Total Team 1 Over: 0.5', given the USA's ability to find the net consistently, with a 65% probability. The match promises to be an exciting showdown, with both teams eager to advance further in the tournament.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
USA
Home win
37%
Draw
No bet
28%
Belgium
Away win
35%
USA — recent matches
02.07 Bosnia & Herzegovina 2 — 0 W
26.06 Türkiye 2 — 3 L
19.06 Australia 2 — 0 W
13.06 Paraguay 4 — 1 W
06.06 Germany 1 — 2 L
Belgium — recent matches
01.07 Senegal 3 — 2 W
27.06 New Zealand 5 — 1 W
21.06 Iran 0 — 0 D
15.06 Egypt 1 — 1 D
06.06 Tunisia 5 — 0 W
28.03.2026 USA vs Belgium 2 — 5
01.07.2014 Belgium vs USA 2 — 1

Expected Lineups

Pending

Predicted lineups will be confirmed closer to kickoff.

Check back 1–2 days before the match.

Squad Availability

USA

+C. Roldan
+M. McKenzie
F. Balogun

Belgium

+Z. Debast

Key Players

USA
Christian Pulisic AM AC Milan · 75+ caps · 31 G · Captain
Weston McKennie CM Juventus · 55+ caps
Tyler Adams CDM Bournemouth · 40+ caps
Folarin Balogun ST Monaco · 15+ caps
Belgium
Kevin De Bruyne AM Napoli · 110+ caps · 30 G · Captain
Romelu Lukaku ST Napoli · 110+ caps · 85 G
Jeremy Doku LW Man City · 25+ caps
Youri Tielemans CM Aston Villa · 75+ caps

Injuries

USA
None reported
Belgium
None reported

Suspensions

USA
None reported
Belgium
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Lumen Field
Capacity: 69,000
Seattle's Lumen Field is open-air with a famously loud crowd; the mild Pacific-Northwest climate keeps conditions fresh.
Weather: Mid-June Seattle: mild, ~18–23°C.

Odds

USA vs Belgium
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.64 3.59 2.88 Bet now
William Hill 2.50 3.25 2.62 Bet now
Bet365 2.50 3.40 2.75 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.55 3.40 2.77 Bet now
Unibet 2.55 3.40 2.75 Bet now
Betfair 2.55 3.40 2.75 Bet now
BetVictor 2.50 3.40 2.70 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.59 3.54 2.83 Bet now
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