🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

USA – Paraguay Prediction

USA

W L L

01:00

13 Jun · Sat

Paraguay

L W W D L

Venue: SoFi Stadium Referee: TBA

Betting Tip

3 picks

Top Pick

Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 Paraguay under 1.5 goals 60% confidence

2.40odds

Paraguay scored one or fewer in four of their last five (1.0 average), a blunt attack against opponents they have struggled to break down.

Back this tip

Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 74%

USA over 0.5 goals

1.55 odds

Total:Under: 3.0 66%

Under 3.0 goals

1.49 odds

USA VS Paraguay Prediction

Co-hosts the United States begin against a familiar opponent in Paraguay, a side they edged only months ago. Home momentum sits with the Americans, but Paraguay's pragmatic streak makes them an uncomfortable first assignment. With the group's shape decided early, both will balance ambition against the cost of an opening defeat.

United States dangerous but porous

The United States arrive with goals at both ends: a 3-2 win over Senegal, a 0-2 loss to Portugal, a 2-5 defeat to Belgium, a 5-1 rout of Uruguay and a 2-1 win against Paraguay. Those games average 2.4 scored and 2.2 conceded, a profile that entertains but leaks. Defender Chris Richards is a doubt with an ankle issue, while Ricardo Pepi has returned to fitness, and Christian Pulisic and Weston McKennie drive a team that scores freely but concedes too.

Paraguay compact and low-scoring

Gustavo Alfaro has built Paraguay on structure: a 1-2 loss to Morocco, a 1-0 win over Greece, a 2-1 victory against Mexico, a 1-2 defeat to the United States and a 0-2 loss to South Korea. Their averages are modest at 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded, and no suspensions or major injuries are confirmed. Captain Gustavo Gomez anchors the defence, with Miguel Almiron and Diego Gomez carrying the limited attacking threat.

Prediction: Paraguay's blunt attack is the key

The United States lead the head-to-head and won the most recent meeting 2-1, and that familiarity matters. This USA versus Paraguay prediction focuses on Paraguay's lack of goals rather than the result: they scored one or fewer in four of their last five, so Paraguay under 1.5 goals carries the value against a side that still creates. Around it, the hosts look good to register over 0.5 of their own, and the contest staying under three goals reflects Paraguay's caution.

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis

USA

Home win

50%

Draw

No bet

50%

Paraguay

Away win

USA — recent matches

31.05 Senegal 3 — 2 W

31.03 Portugal 0 — 2 L

28.03 Belgium 2 — 5 L

Paraguay — recent matches

31.03 Morocco 1 — 2 L

27.03 Greece 1 — 0 W

09.09 Peru 1 — 0 W

04.09 Ecuador 0 — 0 D

11.06 Brazil 0 — 1 L

15.11.2025 USA vs Paraguay 2 — 1

27.03.2018 USA vs Paraguay 1 — 0

11.06.2016 USA vs Paraguay 1 — 0

Expected Lineups

USA · 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3 · Paraguay

USA coach Mauricio Pochettino

Paraguay coach Gustavo Alfaro

Key Players

USA

Christian Pulisic AM AC Milan · 75+ caps · 31 G · Captain

Weston McKennie CM Juventus · 55+ caps

Tyler Adams CDM Bournemouth · 40+ caps

Folarin Balogun ST Monaco · 15+ caps

Paraguay

Antonio Sanabria ST Cremonese · 50+ caps · Captain

Miguel Almirón AM Newcastle · 45+ caps

Julio Enciso AM Ipswich · 15+ caps

Omar Alderete CB Getafe · 30+ caps

Injuries

USA

None reported

Paraguay

None reported

Suspensions

USA

None reported

Paraguay

None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: SoFi Stadium

Capacity: 70,000

SoFi's fixed translucent canopy shades the pitch and tempers Los Angeles heat, giving neutral, controlled conditions that favour technical, possession football.

Weather: Mid-June LA: mild, ~22–26°C, dry under the canopy.